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Randall Munroe’s 9-1/2 minute TED Talk: Comics that ask “what if?”

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I really enjoyed watching this March 2014 TED talk, since I have been reading his XKCD comics for years. Randall discusses two questions:

1) What would happen if you tried to hit a baseball pitched at 90% the speed of light?

2) If all digital data were stored on punch cards, how big would Google’s data warehouse be?


The first question has a surprising answer, that the baseball would become a thermonuclear weapon. His original cartoons had shown the pitch going from right to left. For the TED talk he fixed that detail to more conventionally go from left to right.

The second question visualized 15 exabytes of data as enough punch cards to bury New England about three miles deep. His indirect approach to the answer reminded me of an old essay by science fiction writer Robert Heinlein about estimating the population for the city of Moscow back around 1960.

One of my favorite classic single-panel XKCD comics is SECRET WORLDS. A recent one on TRAIN is hilarious for a very self-centered definition:

“Train:
A machine that grabs the
 earth by metal rails and
 rotates it until the part
 you want is near you.”


The schematic mushroom cloud came from Wikimedia Commons.

Are motivational speakers dinosaurs?

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One in yesterday’s Non Sequiturcomic titled The First Motivational Speaker is.
It is captioned:

“Don’t sweat the small stuff..
And it’s all small stuff!

Well, except for that comet,
which looks kinda big...”


Don’t Sweat the Small Stuff...and It’s All Small Stuff was the title of a 1997 book by the late self-help guru Richard Carlson, which was followed by another thirteen Don’t Sweatbooks

The image of a Stegosaurus came from Wikimedia Commons.

An otter, a vulture, a biker, and a great grandfather walk into a bar...

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That’s what I imagine might have happened on the evening of May 14th after Idaho Public Television held the hour-long debate between all four Republican candidates on the primary ballot for Governor. You can watch it all here on YouTube.

The debate wasn’t originally meant to be that way. The rules had called for only “active candidates” to be included. That would have meant that two-term Governor Butch Otter would just have faced his one credible challenger, state Senator Russell Fulcher.

Apparently Otter’s campaign decided that would undesirably raise perception of Fulcher. So, he insisted that all four should appear, including the bearded biker Harley Brown and great grandfather Walt Bayes. Based on Brown’s previous use of profanity, a 30-second delay was used. Two of his memorable lines were:

“I’m about as politically correct ay your proverbial turd in a punch bowl.”

and his summation of the candidates as being:

“A cowboy, a curmudgeon, a biker, or a normal guy.”

National news coverage was less than positive. An Associated Press story said Fringe Contenders Send Idaho Governor Debate Viral. The Los Angeles Times quipped Gubernatorial debate turns Idaho politics into very small potatoes.

The Today show on early morning TV had a 1-1/2 minute video clip titled Wacky Idaho Debate Goes Viral. They referred to the bearded pair as the ZZ Top candidates. Then on May 21st The Colbert Report did a seven-minute segment about Idaho’s Bizarre Gubernatorial Debate.

Results of the primary election were:

Butch Otter: 51%
Russell Fulcher: 44%
Harley Brown: 3%
Walt Bayes: 2%


So, Otter’s strategy worked. He won, though with an even smaller percentage than the 55% he got in 2010 when challenger Rex Rammell came second with only 26%.

Memorial Day - Remembering World War II Airmen

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Yesterday I took this picture of a restored B-17 Flying Fortress four-engine heavy bomber heading towards Boise’s Gowen Field. Seven decades ago, during World War II, the Army Air Corp leased that airport with its 8,800 foot runway and used it as a training field for B-17 and B-24 Liberator bomber crews. About 6,000 people were stationed there, including the famous movie actor Jimmy Stewart. Housing units built for senior non-commissioned officers as Sergeant City are still around. Boise Weekly had an article about riding in that restored B-17.























My brother-in-law’s father was based in England and flew over Germany in a B-17. There were movies about them like Memphis Belle and Target for Today. Some crews were shot down over water, as described in an article in today’s newspaper. The generic memorial shown above says:

"We who came home must never forget those who could not."

 It is at the National Museum of the U.S. Air Force near Dayton, Ohio.   

My father worked on one detail that made those bomber crews able to fly safely at high altitudes. If almost all the moisture was not removed from the oxygen in their tanks, it would freeze and jam the valves. He helped develop canisters for drying the oxygen as the tanks were filled. Those canisters were similar to the cans for tennis balls. A company in Cincinnati made them for the Army Air Corps. Workers who assembled them were wealthy society ladies. They were served coffee in the mornings, and high tea in the afternoons. The company owner had recruited them via patriotic appeals at meetings of ladies clubs.

Being likable, Ronald Reagan and Bryan Smith

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The conservative Club for Growth clearly has more money than sense. Here in Idaho they backed Idaho Falls lawyer Bryan D. Smith in an unsuccessful attempt to defeat eight-term congressman Mike Simpson in the 2nd District. Republican primary election. It wasn’t even close. Simpson won with 61.6% of the vote versus Smith’s 38.4%. Associated Press called the winner a couple hours after the polls closed.

Just through April outside spending for this election was $2.8 million. How did this deluge of money occur? In July 2013 the Club for Growth backed Smith and targeted Simpson as a moderate in a conservative district. Support for Smith by the Madison Project PAC and other conservative groups followed, and was countered by even more for Simpson from other groups.   

Mike Simpson is extremely well known here in Idaho. His official biography says that:

“His political career began in 1980, when he was elected to the Blackfoot City Council. In 1984, he was elected to the Idaho Legislature where he served until 1998, the last six years serving as Speaker.  Simpson was born in Burley, Idaho and raised in Blackfoot. He graduated from Utah State University and earned his DMD from Washington University School of Dental Medicine in St. Louis, Missouri. After graduation, he joined his father and uncle at the Simpson Family Dental Practice in Blackfoot.”

Bryan Smith was not well known in politics. His campaign bio simply said that:

“He is now the owner of several small businesses in Idaho...”

 During the televised debate on May 11th, Smith said he was a “true conservative” and that, like Ronald Reagan he believed in peace through strength. But, Ronald Reagan was a very likable guy, and Bryan Smith definitely is not. Brian looks like Max Headroom with glasses added.   

On April 13th Boise’s Idaho Statesman put him on page one with an article titled Idaho’s 2nd CD candidate Bryan Smith’s character, career on center stage. They described how back in 2001 he started Medical Recovery Services, a debt collection firm that received an “F’ rating from the Better Business Bureau. Later there also was a second firm, Diversified Equity Systems. Together those two have filed over 10,000 court cases. The Statesman article noted that:

“Steve Taggart, a bankruptcy attorney in Idaho Falls, said Medical Recovery Services pushes people into bankruptcy because it’s aggressive and inflexible. Taggart estimated that Medical Recovery Services cases have triggered between one-third and one-half of Bonneville County’s bankruptcy filings in recent years.”



























Just how aggressive were they? They had tried to collect a $350 attorney fee which was more than the principal amount on some medical bills. When this was struck down by the District Court, like Oliver Twist, they appealed to the Idaho Supreme Court that, please, sir we want some more fees. On March 14, 2014 they were told no unanimously. A newspaper article originally from Idaho Falls about that decision also appeared in Boise and Twin Falls in early May.

Smith’s campaign ran a TV ad about one case where Smith was the “guardian angel” in fighting a claim being turned down by an insurance company. But, the Simpson campaign countered via a web page with a 30-page pdf about Smith as a debt collector.

His activities fit the old joke about undesirable occupations:

“Don’t tell my mother I’m a trial lawyer and a debt collector. She thinks I play the piano in a whorehouse.”

Carol Highsmith’s portrait of Ronald Reagan came from the Library of Congress. The Oliver Twist illustration came from Wikimedia Commons.

Remembering what is important in crisis communication - the CDC CERC pocket or emergency card

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The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) are responsible for responding to public health threats like the Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS). This month they dealt with a case where the initial rapid screening test gave a false positive result that was not confirmed by more detailed analysis: Illinois man didn’t have MERS, CDC says.

How do their spokespersons stay on message? They have a handy Crisis Emergency Risk Communication (CERC) pocket card or emergency card to remind them what is important. On the front it says to:


BUILD TRUST AND CREDIBILITY BY EXPRESSING:

Empathy and caring

Competence and expertise

Honesty and openness

Commitment and dedication


and also gives these

TOP TIPS:

Don’t over reassure.

Acknowledge uncertainty.

Express wishes (‘I wish I had answers’).

Explain the process in place to find answers.

Acknowledge people’s fear.

Give people things to do.

Ask more of people (share risks).



The following section lists four things to do

AS A SPOKESMAN.

On the other side that card says to:

PREPARE TO ANSWER THESE (10) QUESTIONS

and STAY ON MESSAGE (four things).


At the bottom of the card is a reminder that

CONSISTENT MESSAGES ARE VITAL

and to:

BE FIRST. BE RIGHT. BE CREDIBLE.

The image of a thinker by Victor Alfred Lundy came from the Library of Congress.

Three most common fears for mass affluents in the U.S. were going broke in retirement (55%), losing a job (37%), and public speaking (27%)

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In late May the seven-page Spring 2014 Merrill Edge Report was released by Bank of America. It included results from telephone polls done by Braun Research in April on a sample of 1000 U.S. mass affluents.




















As shown above in a bar chart, their six most common fears were not having enough money throughout retirement (55%), losing my job (37%), public speaking (27%), weight gain (25%), going to the dentist (16%), and flying in an airplane (12%). For this affluent group public speaking was not the number one fear as sometimes is claimed by speaking coaches.  

Mass affluents are people with lots of investable assets (other than a primary home). They were defined as those having $50,000 to $250,000, or millennials (age 18 to 34) with annual income over $50,00 and assets of $20,000 to $50,000. U.S.A. Today referred to them more clearly as emerging affluents. (Mass affluents is just a period away from only referring to wealthy folks in the state of Massachusetts). 




















The polls also included additional samples, as shown above in another bar chart. For Los Angeles and south Florida the fear of public speaking was just a couple percent lower and higher than in the national sample.  


















That report also included questions about finances and relationships (gender differences in the dating game). I have put those results in one bar chart (see above) rather than in separate charts as in the report, and included all six questions mentioned in the text rather than just the top five. Note that about twice as many women as men replied regarding both financial stability and a stable job. Also, chemistry and appearance were rated higher by men then women.



A story outweighs a silly statistic

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On May 30th, in her LadyClever blog, Kamala Kirk posted on Nothing to Fear: Speaking in Public with Ease. She opened with:

At some point in all of our lives, we’ve had to give some sort of speech, presentation or talk to a group of people. For some people, this can be one of the most terrifying things they will ever have to do. In fact, there’s an interesting statistic that actually claims that public speaking is the number one fear in North America!  I remember the treacherous junior high days of having to give a presentation in front of the class – my anxiety was so bad that I would try to come up with excuses to stay home sick or to not give my presentation. Fast forward a decade and a half: now I actually enjoy speaking in front of others!

It wasn’t an overnight process, of course. I had to go through a variety of situations to overcome my fear and I learned several helpful tips along the way. As I continued to build my confidence in my public speaking abilities, I eventually found that one day I wasn’t the person hiding in the back of the room – I was the person waving my hand and volunteering to go first.”


The interesting statistic was redundant, since she told a personal story - which outweighs just citing a statistic.

I have discussed a lot of surveys about fear in this blog, and do not recall ever seeing one that covered the entire continent of North America, which would include both Central America and the Caribbean. When I looked around on Google, it seemed that claim first showed up in December 2006 on Wikihow.com, and in 2007 in an article by Paul Tobey. I suspect that they used the U.S. survey reported in the 1977 Book of Lists, and assumed it also would apply to both Canada and Mexico.

Back in 2010 Reader’s Digest Canada asked women and men in 16 countries  just one survey question - What is your greatest fear: Being alone, going broke, losing my looks, or speaking in public.  












Three of those countries were Canada, Mexico, and the United States. As is shown above, they reported results for both men and women. Fear of speaking in public was not ranked first by any of those six groups, which is why the claim is a silly statistic.  

Are things looking up or looking down?

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Unshelved is a daily web comic strip by Gene Ambaum and Bill Barnes about a public library in the mythical city of Mallville. Every Friday they have a Book Club poster. On May 30th (click here) it was about The Visual Display of Quantitative Information by Edward R. Tufte.

That poster began with Mel (the library manager) showing Dewey (the teen services librarian) a bar chart of annual book circulation figures similar to the one shown above. She said they were circulating more books than ever. Dewey replied that chart lied because the time scale ran from right to left. (Gavin McMahon has called this mistake a TimeLord chart). In PowerPoint it isn’t hard to accidentally sort the data in only one column and wind up running the scale backward.






















The data really should have been plotted with the time scale running conventionally, from left to right. Now things are looking down rather than up. In the comic the y-axis also was logarithmic rather than linear, and Dewey also added a few more refinements. 

Back on November 20, 2009 I blogged about a series of Unshelved comics on introducing a speaker. From 2006 to 2010 Unshelved held an annual contest for libraries to Pimp My Bookcart.

D-Day, daring, and deceptions

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Friday, June 6th was the 70th anniversary of D-Day, the Allied invasion of Europe. One reason for its success was the daring plan to attack at a different location than was obvious - the narrowest part of the English Channel with a natural harbor at the Pas-de-Calais.

Instead the Allies attacked where there was no natural harbor, but constructed two artificial Mulberry harbors for landing supplies. One was destroyed by a storm, but the other at Arromanches-les-Bains survived.

A second reason for the success was detailed deception plans. Operation Bodyguard convinced the Germans that General George S. Patton would lead the First U.S. Army Group in the invasion, which would occur at Calais. Even after the landings had begun Hitler still believed the deception and held back his reinforcements. 

It’s easy but dangerous to believe what seems obvious, and fits our preconceived notions.  

When I did a Google search on  the words public speaking fear, the very first search result was a wikiHow web page titled How to Overcome Your Fear of Public Speaking that opens by claiming:

“Did you know that public speaking is the number one fear in North America?”

As I discussed in my June 3rd post,  A story outweighs a silly statistic, when you look a bit further you will find that is not so. It just sounds authoritative. 

An off-target comment from Best DISSERTATION Services

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 Back in January I had a post titled Don’t just get on the bandwagon! Find your own speech topic and approach. Last week I got a comment about it from Best DISSERTATION Services who sell in the UK and also have a blog. Their blogger, Vestri Vel, asked me to:

“Kindly share more information.”

That’s pretty silly since my post already had labels that linked to four topics: planning (with 42 posts), research (with 68 posts), ruts (with 3 posts), and speech topics (with 17 posts).

The Dissertation Writingweb page for Best DISSERTATION Services includes a statement that:

“Our cheap dissertation writing services provide you a complete high quality dissertation without any errors.”

I doubt it, since captions to the scrolling animated images on their home page include both:

“With Smiley FACE Your Resit Diseertation”

“Make rite choice to write your dissertation.”


The archery target came from Wikimedia Commons.

Life’s a Pitch? How not to name your new book

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I just saw a press release for a book by Terry Ward titled Life’s a Pitch: The Essential Guide to Presentations. Amazon.com lists the publication date as April 29, 2014. But, the first phrase in the title is hardly original, so it doesn’t really stand out. On Amazon I also found:

 Life’s a Pitch: How to Sell Yourself and Your Brilliant Ideas by Roger Mavity and Stephen Bayley (January 6, 2009)  

Life’s a Pitch!: From Hosting to Toasting...From News to Schmooze by Soni Diamond (September 20, 2004)

and her follow up book

Life’s a Pitch!...For Rookies: Son of a Pitch (November 26, 2008)

Earlier there was

Life’s a Pitch: How to Outwit Your Competitors and Make a Winning Presentation by Don Peppers (January 25, 1996)

which was preceded by

Life’s A Pitch...Then You Buy by Don Peppers (August 1, 1995)

There also was

Life’s a Pitch: What the World’s Best Sales People Can Teach Us All by Philip Delves Broughton (May 1, 2012)

and even more recently

Life’s a Pitch: Learn the Proven Formula That Has Sold Over $1 BILLION In Products by Bob Circosta (May 15, 2014)

Amazon is one place where you can check on a title before naming a book. Another is WorldCat, which I blogged about here.

Adolph Hitler’s book titled  Mein Kampf (My Struggle) originally had a longer title that translated to: Four and a Half Years (of Struggle) Against Lies, Stupidity and Cowardice.

The press release for Terry Ward’s book was titled Fear of Public Speaking Tops List of Phobias and began with:

“Studies have shown that people fear speaking in public more than they fear illness, flying in airplanes, terrorism, or even death. In fact, according to the National Institute of Mental Health, 74 percent of us suffer from ‘speech anxiety’ that keeps us from communicating our ideas as well as our needs and wants.

‘This is a shocking statistic,’ says Terry Ward, a veteran public speaker and author of the new book ‘Life’s a Pitch: The Essential Guide to Presentations.’ ‘Talking to one another, whether in casual conversation or across a boardroom table, is how we make things happen in life. So if you can’t do that effectively, how lost must you feel on a day-to-day basis?’ ”


I have previously blogged about how that statistic is shocking because the web page at Statistic Brain that seems to have created it is reciting a percentage (74%) that is over three times higher than what research supported by NIMH actually found (21.2% for fear and 10.7% for phobia). 

The 1889 image showing the evolution of a pitcher is from the Library of Congress.


Should you write a book about public speaking?

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Isn’t there already a big enough pile of them to satisfy almost everyone? How many books about public speaking already exist? When I looked in the Bowker Books In Print database using public speaking as a subject, it said there were about 3,870 books (1600 of which were out of print), just 490 of which were readily available. Using the phrase “public speaking” in search all gave more, about 5,170. A search of WorldCat found almost 9100 including nearly 1480 eBooks (and ignoring another 1320 dissertations or theses). About 300 were added in 2013.

Can you expect to make a fortune from selling a book? Probably not. Remainder seller Hamilton Books has them filed under self help (communication skills). Richard Zeoli’s  2008 paperback book, 7 Principles of Public Speaking, is $4.95 rather than the $14.95 list price. But it also lives on as an e-Book.   

Do you have enough novel and relevant content to make a credible book? Last December Russ Howser blogged about Bad Public Speaking Books, and ranted that some of them are just marketing pieces (big business cards). 


























Would you be better off writing a book for a niche market? For example, at Hamilton I saw Patricia Fry’s January 2013 niche paperback for writers, Talk Up Your Book for $5.95 instead of the original $19.95. You might pick a niche as shown above just based on the type of speech and gender.





















Of course, you could add more categories and narrow the market. Right now there are several books about TED Talks. Carmine Gallo did Talk Like TED, which I’ve mentioned previously here. So far though I haven’t seen anyone produce Diluting Your Fear of Public Speaking: Pecha Kucha for Homeopaths.   

The dark side of public speaking

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The Wall Street Journal has a serious and humorous Saturday Essay titled Joe Queenan’s Guide to Public Speaking (How to avoid utterly humiliating yourself in front of a bored and yawning crowd).

Joe points out that:

“Still, most speakers fail because their speeches are no good. They often fall flat because they have a phoned-in quality, because they are stock speeches the speaker has given over and over again. No effort has been made to tailor the material to the audience being addressed, and the audience knows it.”

His example is a story about trying to reuse a speech he’d given to public relations professionals at the national convention of the American Recovery Association (which is the trade group for repo men). It didn’t end well. 

The image was adapted from an 1896 Puck cartoon about William Jennings Bryan found at the Library of Congress.

A great cartoon about many commencement speeches

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Today Zach Weiner has a great Saturday Morning Breakfast Cerealcartoon about many commencement speeches. His captions include:

“What you students may not realize is that the point of a commencement speech isn’t the words. If you want inspiration, or profound insight or whatever, well, you should’ve got it in literature class.

No. The point of the speaker is to show how much money our university can afford to spend on 20 minutes of platitudes. We need to show off our brand. You need our brand to get a job.”


But, that’s not all. Go read it to see his ending.

Some commencement speeches are different. At Dartmouth Shonda Rhimes told the grads to go out and do, since dreams are for losers.

Also today Tony Carrillo had an F Minus cartoon captioned:

“I’m proud to welcome our most popular guest speaker, the Model G400 teleprompter.”

I prefer his May 31st cartoon about the cat remote.

The June 20,1906 Puck cartoon showing commencement day in the U.S. Senate came from the Library of Congress.

Cranking out spam comments

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In blogging as in public speaking you will get feedback. Sometimes it’s useful, but other times it’s just someone looking for attention (turkey spam).  

On June 5th the automatic spam detection for my blog intercepted this proposed comment:

“There’s a natural law of karma that vindictive people, who go out of their way to hurt others, will end up broke and alone. See the link below for more information.” 

Since I don’t like insults, I didn’t accept that comment. It was on my third most popular post from December 2009 titled Does homeopathic Argentum nitricum reduce anxiety? Also, the link was to a web site unrelated to the topic.

It came from a woman I’ll refer to as Woo Hoo, whose Google Plus page shows lots of comments but absolutely no original content of her own. She also uses a briefer version:

“What goes around comes around. See the link below for more info.”

She also frequently uses one with fawning approval:

“I like your post a lot. You should write some more on this! Great job coming with such a terrific post!”

Previously I have seen Fairy tales in my blog spam folder from four turkeys and Off-topic spam blog comments - the hCG Diet Scam.

The meat grinder image came from here at Wikimedia Commons.

Idaho Republican convention fails to catch fire

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Last weekend the Idaho Republican Party held their biennial state convention in Moscow, lead by U.S. Representative Raul Labrador. They were supposed to: (A) Elect a party chairman and (B) Pass a party platform. How did they do? Zero for two. He couldn’t stop the tea party and establishment factions from feuding.

The Washington Timesreported that:

“Labrador, who seeking to become U.S. House majority leader after Eric Cantor’s primary loss, had touted his work on a solution to unite the party for weeks prior to the convention but said it quickly fell apart once the event started. While his deal failed, Labrador said it was not indicative of his ability to lead House Republicans.”

Really? The Washington Post also lamented in more detail that The Idaho Republican convention this weekend was a total fiasco.

Now it’s not clear who even is running things. Yesterday the Idaho Statesman here in Boise reported State GOP chairman refutes legal opinion that he’s no longer chair, seeks his own.

Things now are almost as ludicrous as an old Monty Python's Flying CircusElection Night Special comedy skit (with the Silly Party and the Sensible Party).

The image was adapted from one back in 1900 at the Library of Congress.

WARNING - Your child might learn something here!

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Last week I visited Twin Falls and enjoyed seeing the Herrett Center for Arts and Science at the College of Southern Idaho (CSI).They have a natural history collection, an art collection, and a planetarium. Their mission statement says they are educational, and offer programs to elementary and secondary school students, CSI students, and adults.   

In front of the center, in a group of program-related signs, there is a curious gray one (shown above) which reads:

“Due to content that may challenge some visitors’ aesthetic, moral, or ethical standards, the Herrett Center for Arts & Science recommends a review of shows and exhibits by parents, guardians, or teachers prior to bringing younger viewers to the Center. Images in presentations or shows, and objects on display in our galleries may not represent the philosophy of the Herrett Center or the College of Southern Idaho.”

Those items also might represent their philosophy, but presumably a legal adviser told them they needed to muddy things up with a weasel worded disclaimer/warning statement. 

Distant starlight, science, and magic

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After the first episode aired back in March, I blogged about Telling a big story - Cosmos: A Spacetime Odyssey. The other dozen episodes of that television series also were memorable.

I was both amused and appalled to see some reactions from young earth creationists. After the second episode Danny Faulkner, who writes for Answers in Genesis, appeared on the March 20th Janet Mefferd show and whined:

“Janet :Now, do they do any interviews with scientists themselves during this whole thing, and do they ever give a creationist any time?

Danny: Well no, the creationists aren’t even on the radar screen for them. They wouldn’t even consider us plausible at all. I don’t recall having seen any interviews with people. That may yet come.”


In episode 4, A Sky Full of Ghosts, Neil deGrasse Tyson pointed out that since light has a finite speed it takes time to reach us, so we are seeing what was rather than what is. From the sun it takes eight minutes, from the planet Neptune it takes four hours, and from the nearest star (Proxima Centauri) it takes four years. Then he talked about the nebula that I’ve shown above and said:

“The Crab Nebula is about 6,500 light years from earth.

According to some beliefs, that’s the age of the whole universe, but if the universe were only 6,500 years old, how could we see the light from anything more distant than the Crab Nebula? We couldn’t. There wouldn’t have been enough time for light to get to earth from anywhere farther away than 6,500 light years in any direction.


That’s just enough time for light to travel through a tiny portion of our Milky Way galaxy. To believe in a universe as young as six or seven thousand years old is to extinguish the light from most of the galaxy, not to mention the light from all the 100 billion other galaxies in the observable universe.”


A review of that episode by Elizabeth Mitchell, M.D. at Answers in Genesisposted on April 1 (April Fool’s Day) objected:

“What Tyson, of course, does not address in the program is that young earth creation scientists do offer biblically consistent models to explain how we see faraway objects in space without attempting to tamper with the laws of physics. One such model is the anisotropic synchrony convention which is based on the fact—as Einstein recognized—that it is impossible to objectively measure the one-way speed of light. We instead must measure the round-trip speed of light and simply agree that the one-way speed must be half of the total. Read more about how this explanation would answer the question of how light from distant stars could reach earth within the time allowed in biblical history in ‘Distant Starlight’ and, for the more technically minded readers, ‘Anisotropic Synchrony Convention - A Solution to the Distant Starlight Problem.‘ “ 

I looked up the longer and funnier article on Distant Starlight (The Anisotropic Synchrony Convention) by Dr. Jason Lisle that was posted on December 8, 2010 rather than the brief one posted on February 24, 2010 that they now link to. He uses Einstein’s physics (relativity) as an excuse to sneak in a magical assumption:

“A less-well-known aspect of Einstein’s physics is that the speed of light in one direction cannot be objectively measured, and so it must be stipulated (agreed upon by convention). This stands in contrast to the round-trip speed of light, which is always constant.

For example, if light travels from A to B and then back to A, it will always take the same amount of time to make the trip (because its speed is always the same), and that time is objectively measurable. However, the time it takes to go just from A to B, or just from B to A is not objectively measurable. So the speed of light in one direction must be stipulated.”


Then he uses a silly example that would call for an absurdly long hallway (78% of the distance from the earth to the moon):

“We can calculate the round-trip speed of light. Let’s say, for example, we shine a light down a long hallway and it reflects off a mirror. If our stopwatch says it takes 2 seconds to go round trip, we can be sure of this time.

While we can be certain of the round-trip time, we cannot be certain of the time it took the light to travel to the mirror or the time it took to return.

We might assume that it takes light an equal amount of time to travel each direction.

However, the light could travel at different speeds for each direction.”























The simple solution where light has the same speed and takes the same time each way is shown above. That’s what you’d pick using Occam’s Razor.






















But, that isn’t what Jason picks. As shown above, he makes a very peculiar assumption that the time in one direction is zero (and so the speed is infinite). It’s exactly what he needs to magically make that distant starlight problem vanish.

In the paragraph headed Distant Starlight he tries to explain:

“So we may choose to regard the speed of light as being instantaneous when travelling toward us, providing the round-trip speed (in empty space) is always 186,000 miles per second. In this case, the light from distant stars takes no time at all to reach the earth since the light is travelling toward us. So distant starlight is not an issue.

This convention could be called the ‘anisotropic synchrony convention,’ or ASC, because it claims that light travels at different speeds in different directions (anisotropic). Of course, it’s perfectly fair to use other conventions as well.


Einstein tells us that we may freely choose which convention to use. For the sake of simplicity, most physicists choose to regard light as moving at the same speed in all directions (isotropic). However, there is no fundamental reason that we cannot use ASC instead.”


In their discussion of this topic the Rational Wikipoints out:

“One of the main problems with ASC, as a proof that there is no starlight problem in creationism, is that the use of a particular convention doesn't necessarily mean that the reality changes to match it.”

Then on June 18th at Answers in Genesis Danny Faulkner complained:

“More troubling was what appeared to be a direct response to biblical creationists that appeared in several episodes. For instance, in episode four, ‘A Sky Full of Ghosts,’ Tyson compared the idea that the universe is billions of years old to the possibility of the universe being only six or seven thousand years old. Why did the writers of that episode pick that particular age, if not to denigrate those who believe in biblical creation?”

Quit griping! You asked for it, and then you got it.


Is anyone still celebrating Freedom from Fear of Public Speaking Week?

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Not that I can find easily. So, by mentioning it I’m feeling a bit like Linus van Pelt sitting in a very sincere patch waiting for the Great Pumpkin

Back in 2011 I blogged about Celebrate Freedom from Fear of Public Speaking Week, or Day, or Month. The rather overblown month is mentioned here, here, and here.

For me, this week is an excuse to dig out another version of that iconic World War I U.S. Army recruiting poster and recaption it, as is shown above.

My older versions seem to have been borrowed and reposted both in the UK and Australia.
 
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